Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.9%
Probabilidad gana
3.06
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 3
SLB
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 0
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SAN
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FAB
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1969 |
VIT
4 - 2
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCP
22%
29%
50%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |