Análisis BGA vs Roskilde
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2005 |
SLA
2 - 0
BGA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2005 |
AAF
4 - 1
BGA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
BGA
0 - 1
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 2005 |
NAS
2 - 0
BGA
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
HOL
1 - 3
BGA
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2005 |
ROS
0 - 4
NOR
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 2005 |
ROS
1 - 0
LYN
27%
24%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
AAF
2 - 0
ROS
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2005 |
ROS
2 - 2
B19
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |