Análisis Brasil Sub 20 vs Paraguay Sub 20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2010 |
PRY
2 - 1
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
MEX
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 ene. 2010 |
URY
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHL
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
PRY
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 4
PRY
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 2010 |
PRY
3 - 0
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRY
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2010 |
PRY
1 - 2
PER
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |