Copa Libertadores Playoffs Final
Global 5-3
Análisis River Plate vs Boca Juniors
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
73%
19%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
GLP
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
21%
25%
53%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
PAT
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2018 |
BOC
4 - 1
TIG
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOC
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |