Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Análisis Rosario Central vs Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 1
LAN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
CEN
0 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
BOC
4 - 0
CEN
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 ago. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2003 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
IND
2 - 2
RIV
27%
24%
50%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 0
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |