Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
PLA
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 jun. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
IRV
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
VEL
19%
26%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 may. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
GOD
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
LAN
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
SDM
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 1
EST
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |