Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1999 |
VEL
4 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1999 |
CAU
1 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1999 |
UNI
0 - 0
VEL
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1999 |
VEL
3 - 2
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 1999 |
VEL
3 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1999 |
FER
0 - 0
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1999 |
PLA
0 - 0
FER
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1999 |
FER
0 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1999 |
NOB
0 - 0
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |