Análisis Caen vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
ARL
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
21%
25%
53%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
DIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAE
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
CLE
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
ANG
2 - 1
AJA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
VAN
44%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
STR
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2009 |
SED
1 - 3
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |