Liga Gales Temporada Regular Jor. 16

Análisis Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town

Caernarfon Town FC Barry Town
61 ELO 57
25.1% Tilt 21.4%
2028º Ranking ELO general 2169º
Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
67.6%
Caernarfon Town FC
19.1%
Empate
13.3%
Barry Town

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.6%
Probabilidad gana
Caernarfon Town FC
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Probabilidad gana
Barry Town
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Caernarfon Town FC
-3%
+6%
Barry Town

Pronóstico de puntos y clasificación

Caernarfon Town FC
Su posición en la liga
Barry Town
POS.ACT.
PTS.
MEJOR
PEOR
EXP.
31
23
11º
PTS.
MEJOR
PEOR
EXP.
POS.ACT.
Expectativa en la clasificación
Clasificación actual Expectativas finales
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
62
82
100%
Connah's Quay
47
59
89.5%
Bala Town
37
49
33%
Penybont
28
48
34%
Newtown
33
47
25.5%
Cardiff MU
34
46
22%
Caernarfon Town FC
31
43
21%
Haverfordwest County
28
42
23%
Barry Town
23
34
37%
Pontypridd United
12º
13
33
10º
38.5%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
15
27
11º
48%
Colwyn Bay
11º
14
25
12º
68.5%
Probabilidades expectativas
Caernarfon Town FC
Barry Town
Playoff Título
31.5% 1.5%
Playoff Descenso
68.5% 98.5%

Progresión del ELO

Caernarfon Town FC
Barry Town
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Caernarfon Town FC
Caernarfon Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 nov. 2023
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
2 - 4
Penybont
PEN
39%
26%
36%
62 68 6 0
27 oct. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
6 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
49%
25%
26%
63 69 6 -1
21 oct. 2023
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
5 - 1
Cardiff MU
CAR
36%
27%
38%
62 69 7 +1
17 oct. 2023
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
3 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
65%
20%
15%
61 54 7 +1
14 oct. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
4 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
53%
23%
24%
61 69 8 0

Partidos

Barry Town
Barry Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 nov. 2023
BAR
Barry Town
1 - 0
Guilsfield FC
GUI
63%
19%
18%
56 49 7 0
04 nov. 2023
BAR
Barry Town
0 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
52%
23%
25%
56 55 1 0
28 oct. 2023
COL
Colwyn Bay
0 - 1
Barry Town
BAR
51%
24%
26%
56 54 2 0
21 oct. 2023
BAR
Barry Town
2 - 6
The New Saints
TNS
18%
22%
60%
56 69 13 0
17 oct. 2023
BAR
Barry Town
2 - 0
Pontypridd United
PON
40%
25%
34%
55 59 4 +1