3ª Catalana Jor. 15

Análisis Calafell vs Tarragona FC A

Calafell Tarragona FC A
10 ELO 7
9.2% Tilt 8.6%
16543º Ranking ELO general 19823º
4318º Ranking ELO país 5944º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
48.2%
Calafell
21.3%
Empate
30.5%
Tarragona FC A

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Calafell
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Tarragona FC A
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Calafell
+107%
-62%
Tarragona FC A

Progresión del ELO

Calafell
Tarragona FC A
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Calafell
Calafell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2025
SAN
UD San Salvador
3 - 0
Calafell
CAL
76%
14%
10%
9 16 7 0
22 dic. 2024
CAL
Calafell
1 - 1
Llorenç
LLO
41%
22%
37%
9 9 0 0
19 dic. 2024
CAL
Calafell
2 - 2
Sant Jaume Domenys
SJD
7%
13%
80%
8 18 10 +1
15 dic. 2024
RIE
La Riera
2 - 1
Calafell
CAL
53%
21%
26%
9 10 1 -1
01 dic. 2024
CAL
Calafell
3 - 4
Base Pallaresos
BAS
18%
19%
63%
9 14 5 0

Partidos

Tarragona FC A
Tarragona FC A
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2025
TAR
Tarragona FC A
1 - 9
At. Valls
VAL
7%
14%
79%
7 19 12 0
21 dic. 2024
ALC
Alcover
5 - 1
Tarragona FC A
TAR
59%
19%
22%
7 10 3 0
15 dic. 2024
TAR
Tarragona FC A
1 - 6
UniÒ Esportiva Creixell A
UNI
36%
21%
43%
9 10 1 -2
01 dic. 2024
VEN
Vendrell
5 - 0
Tarragona FC A
TAR
62%
18%
20%
10 13 3 -1
24 nov. 2024
SAN
UD San Salvador
1 - 0
Tarragona FC A
TAR
74%
15%
12%
10 17 7 0