Análisis Caldas vs Atlético Reguengos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
FAT
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
MAF
3 - 3
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
EVN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 3
ORI
20%
24%
57%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOR
19%
24%
58%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |