Análisis Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
31.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+69%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2021 |
CAL
4 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 dic. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
USB
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 3
DES
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2020 |
DES
4 - 1
TRI
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
DES
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2020 |
DES
2 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |