Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2006 |
LDU
3 - 2
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2006 |
NAC
4 - 0
AUC
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
AUC
1 - 4
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2006 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAC
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
EME
6 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |