Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
UCE
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
CUE
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
BSC
3 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TEC
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2008 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
LDU
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |