Análisis CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2021 |
LDU
3 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
ORE
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
PQU
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
GUA
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |