Análisis CD El Nacional vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
CUE
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
LQE
4 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |