Análisis CD Melipilla vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2004 |
CDM
3 - 0
OHI
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
ULC
0 - 4
CDM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2004 |
CDM
3 - 1
DCO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
CDM
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
CDM
1 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2004 |
CON
3 - 0
ULC
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
DCO
3 - 0
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
NTA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
CDM
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
OHI
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |