Análisis Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30%
Win probability
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-34%
-100%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2022 |
CHF
0 - 4
MCA
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 6
MCA
54%
19%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2022 |
MCA
5 - 1
LUL
47%
20%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
82%
10%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2021 |
CPO
3 - 1
MCA
42%
20%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 2
BMA
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
TCK
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 2021 |
TCK
0 - 3
SMA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 jul. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 1
LUL
50%
20%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2021 |
SMA
6 - 0
HSA
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |