Tercera División G4 Jor. 16

Análisis CD Toledo vs UB Conquense

CD Toledo UB Conquense
52 ELO 50
5.8% Tilt 18.9%
7525º Ranking ELO general 6191º
203º Ranking ELO país 160º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68.8%
CD Toledo
15.8%
Empate
15.4%
UB Conquense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Toledo
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.8%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
UB Conquense
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
CD Toledo
+30%
-1%
UB Conquense

Progresión del ELO

CD Toledo
UB Conquense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Toledo
CD Toledo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 ene. 1949
AVI
Real Ávila
3 - 7
CD Toledo
CDT
59%
18%
24%
50 44 6 0
12 dic. 1948
CDT
CD Toledo
5 - 2
CP Cacereño
CPC
68%
16%
16%
49 45 4 +1
05 dic. 1948
CDT
CD Toledo
1 - 0
Tomelloso
TOM
71%
15%
15%
48 47 1 +1
28 nov. 1948
ZAM
Zamora CF
4 - 0
CD Toledo
CDT
40%
21%
39%
50 39 11 -2
21 nov. 1948
CDT
CD Toledo
2 - 2
AD Plus Ultra
PUL
56%
19%
25%
50 56 6 0

Partidos

UB Conquense
UB Conquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 ene. 1949
NUM
Numancia
0 - 1
UB Conquense
UBC
76%
13%
11%
50 54 4 0
12 dic. 1948
UBC
UB Conquense
2 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
69%
16%
15%
50 47 3 0
05 dic. 1948
UBC
UB Conquense
4 - 1
CP Cacereño
CPC
67%
17%
16%
49 46 3 +1
28 nov. 1948
TOM
Tomelloso
1 - 3
UB Conquense
UBC
70%
16%
14%
48 48 0 +1
21 nov. 1948
UBC
UB Conquense
2 - 0
Zamora CF
ZAM
74%
14%
12%
47 40 7 +1