Análisis Toreno vs Atl. Astorga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 1988 |
LEO
4 - 0
TOR
67%
21%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 1988 |
TOR
3 - 2
UXA
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1987 |
SDA
1 - 2
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1987 |
TOR
3 - 0
AEH
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1987 |
SPH
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 1988 |
AST
1 - 0
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 1988 |
AST
1 - 0
CDL
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 1987 |
LEO
1 - 0
AST
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 1987 |
AST
2 - 1
UXA
73%
18%
10%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 1987 |
SDA
1 - 1
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |