Europa League 1/16

Global 8-1

Análisis Celta vs Benfica

Celta Benfica
88 ELO 85
8.9% Tilt -6.8%
67º Ranking ELO general 71º
11º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
59.2%
Celta
22.5%
Empate
18.3%
Benfica

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Celta
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Benfica
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Celta
Benfica
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 nov. 1999
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 3
Celta
CEL
34%
28%
38%
87 81 6 0
07 nov. 1999
CEL
Celta
5 - 1
Real Betis
BET
61%
22%
18%
87 84 3 0
04 nov. 1999
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
68%
19%
12%
87 79 8 0
31 oct. 1999
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
32%
27%
41%
87 79 8 0
24 oct. 1999
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
59%
22%
18%
87 85 2 0

Partidos

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 nov. 1999
FCP
Porto
2 - 0
Benfica
SLB
66%
19%
15%
86 88 2 0
13 nov. 1999
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
CD Torres Novas
CDT
95%
4%
0%
86 22 64 0
08 nov. 1999
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
77%
15%
8%
85 71 14 +1
04 nov. 1999
SLB
Benfica
1 - 2
PAOK
PAO
59%
22%
19%
86 82 4 -1
31 oct. 1999
ALV
FC Alverca
3 - 1
Benfica
SLB
15%
25%
60%
86 65 21 0