Análisis Chapecoense vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAM
81%
15%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
CHA
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
MET
4 - 1
AVA
17%
21%
63%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
INT
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |