Análisis Aurora vs Nacional Potosí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
BLO
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
REA
1 - 2
AUR
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |