Análisis Cobresal vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2007 |
CSL
3 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSL
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 1
HUA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
COQ
1 - 2
CSL
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
ACS
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2007 |
OHI
1 - 1
CON
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 4
COB
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
CON
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |