Análisis Concepción vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2003 |
CDP
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
OVA
3 - 3
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
OHI
4 - 2
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2003 |
DLS
3 - 0
NTA
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
DCO
0 - 2
DLS
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2003 |
DLS
3 - 2
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
DLS
3 - 0
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
CDP
2 - 1
DLS
41%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |