Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
LDU
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2002 |
CUE
0 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
48%
29%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2002 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 0
NAC
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |