Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
LDU
4 - 3
MAC
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 2
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 5
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LDU
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
CUE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |