Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CCS
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
CPE
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
CUA
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
MOL
2 - 3
CUA
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 2
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
CPE
81%
13%
5%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |