Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Molinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2009 |
CEU
2 - 1
CUA
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 2008 |
CUA
2 - 2
LAH
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CUA
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
CUA
2 - 1
MAR
19%
23%
59%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +3 |
Partidos
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2009 |
MOL
0 - 0
CIE
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
MOL
0 - 1
FOR
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 2008 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOL
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 2
MOL
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
MOL
1 - 2
ALB
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |