Copa Libertadores Octavos

Global 3-2

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Flamengo

Defensor Sporting Flamengo
83 ELO 80
8% Tilt -4.5%
473º Ranking ELO general 128º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
58.6%
Defensor Sporting
21.8%
Empate
19.6%
Flamengo

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Flamengo
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+4%
+27%
Flamengo

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Flamengo
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 abr. 2007
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
0 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
24%
26%
50%
83 70 13 0
25 abr. 2007
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 0
Nacional
NAC
54%
23%
23%
83 81 2 0
21 abr. 2007
CEN
Central Español FC
0 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
26%
28%
46%
83 67 16 0
20 abr. 2007
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
3 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
33%
24%
43%
83 77 6 0
14 abr. 2007
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 2
Progreso
PRO
65%
21%
14%
83 67 16 0

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 abr. 2007
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
52%
24%
24%
81 80 1 0
19 abr. 2007
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Real Potosí
RPO
59%
21%
20%
80 74 6 +1
08 abr. 2007
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 1
América RJ
AME
81%
14%
5%
80 54 26 0
05 abr. 2007
MAR
UA Maracaibo
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
33%
27%
40%
80 73 7 0
01 abr. 2007
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
22%
24%
53%
80 62 18 0