Análisis Delta Porto Tolle vs Union Quinto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 3
DEL
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
DEL
1 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 4
DEL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 2
DEL
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
TAM
35%
27%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
GIO
2 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEG
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
VNZ
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |