Análisis Derby County vs Chelsea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
69.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.6
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1932 |
WHU
2 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1932 |
DER
0 - 1
SHW
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
57%
19%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 1
DER
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1932 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
65%
17%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 0
OPA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 1932 |
BBU
2 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1932 |
CHL
2 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |