Análisis Derby County vs Watford
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2014 |
DON
0 - 2
DER
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
DER
3 - 1
HUR
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2014 |
BPO
1 - 3
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2014 |
QPR
2 - 1
WAT
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 1
IPS
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 2
WAT
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
LEE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 1
BUR
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |