Análisis ES Tunis vs USM Alger
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2007 |
REN
1 - 2
ESP
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 3
USM
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2007 |
EGS
2 - 2
ESP
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2007 |
USM
3 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
REN
90%
8%
3%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | 0 |
Partidos
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2007 |
USM
0 - 0
SET
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2007 |
USM
3 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2007 |
TLE
1 - 1
USM
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2007 |
USM
2 - 0
ORA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 2
USM
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |