Análisis Estoril vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
VIZ
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
OLH
3 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
GON
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
63%
24%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 0
FEI
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
LEX
2 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |