Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Caracas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
28.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TRU
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
ZUL
39%
25%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
CFC
26%
24%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 3
CFC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 0
MIN
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2010 |
ZUL
0 - 1
CFC
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |