Análisis Excelsior .31 vs ACV Assen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
-37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 2
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
BEQ
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
VVO
1 - 4
EXC
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
SDC
1 - 3
EXC
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
URK
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2004 |
ACV
2 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
ACV
2 - 4
BEQ
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
ACV
3 - 1
DOS
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
ONS
0 - 2
ACV
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
ACV
1 - 5
WHC
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |