Análisis Excelsior vs Jong AZ
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2022 |
MVV
1 - 1
EXC
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 4
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 1
ADO
17%
21%
63%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 0
ALK
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 1
RJC
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2022 |
ALK
2 - 0
PSV
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 1
ALK
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |