Análisis Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
AZA
6 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 4
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |