Análisis Excelsior vs Emmen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2009 |
RBC
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2009 |
BVO
1 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2009 |
FCD
0 - 1
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2009 |
FCO
3 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2009 |
FCE
4 - 4
FCO
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 2
TEL
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2009 |
GAE
0 - 1
FCE
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2009 |
FCE
3 - 2
BVV
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2009 |
APE
1 - 1
FCE
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |