Análisis Excelsior vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 3
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
17%
19%
64%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 1
NAC
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2021 |
HEL
4 - 0
BOS
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
ALK
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 2021 |
JUT
3 - 1
BOS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
EIN
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |