Análisis Excelsior vs Groningen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2002 |
FEY
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 2
VIT
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |