Análisis Excelsior vs TOP Oss
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2010 |
APE
4 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 1
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
EXC
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2010 |
FCE
3 - 3
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2010 |
FCO
0 - 2
HEL
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 feb. 2010 |
FCO
0 - 0
GAE
20%
24%
55%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
VOL
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |