Análisis Excelsior vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
18%
24%
59%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2011 |
ZEN
2 - 0
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 1
VVV
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 0
ZEN
49%
25%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |