Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 1
RKC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |