Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2022 |
VVV
2 - 2
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2022 |
MVV
1 - 1
EXC
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 4
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
FCO
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCD
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
VVV
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2022 |
JUT
1 - 0
NAC
9%
18%
72%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |