Análisis Excelsior vs Vitesse
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
25.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.18
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
VIT
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |