Análisis Excelsior vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 2
RJC
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |