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Copa Simón Bolívar. Cuartos

Global 5-3. Ida 1-1

Análisis Fancesa vs Torre Fuerte

Fancesa Torre Fuerte
34 ELO 35
190% Tilt 214%
19617º Ranking ELO general 29641º
56º Ranking ELO país 93º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55.5%
Fancesa
14.4%
Empate
30.1%
Torre Fuerte

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.5%
Probabilidad gana
Fancesa
4.06
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
12-3
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
12-4
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
0.1%
11-4
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.3%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.7%
9-4
0.3%
10-5
0.1%
11-6
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
2.3%
7-3
1.4%
8-4
0.6%
9-5
0.2%
10-6
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
2.4%
7-4
1.1%
8-5
0.4%
9-6
0.1%
10-7
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
3.5%
6-4
1.9%
7-5
0.7%
8-6
0.2%
9-7
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
0.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
4.4%
5-4
2.8%
6-5
1.2%
7-6
0.4%
8-7
0.1%
9-8
<0%
+1
15.1%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
0.1%
1-1
0.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
4.3%
4-4
3.5%
5-5
1.8%
6-6
0.6%
7-7
0.2%
8-8
<0%
0
14.4%
30.1%
Probabilidad gana
Torre Fuerte
3.17
Goles esperados
0-1
0.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
3.4%
4-5
2.2%
5-6
0.9%
6-7
0.3%
7-8
0.1%
8-9
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
2.2%
4-6
1.2%
5-7
0.4%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
1.1%
4-7
0.5%
5-8
0.2%
6-9
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.5%
4-8
0.2%
5-9
0.1%
6-10
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0.1%
5-10
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0.1%
4-10
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
2-10
0%
-8
0.1%