Análisis Aarau vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 1994 |
SER
2 - 2
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1994 |
MUR
0 - 1
FCA
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 ago. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
GCZ
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 ago. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 1994 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 1994 |
LAU
2 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |